Weasel ass Rahm Emanuel's job approval hits record low as Chicagoans reject McDonald video excuses

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stringer bell
stringer bell Members Posts: 26,212 ✭✭✭✭✭
edited February 2016 in The Social Lounge
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/ct-rahm-emanuel-laquan-mcdonald-poll-20160131-story.html
Emanuel job approval hits record low as Chicagoans reject McDonald video explanation

A vast majority of Chicagoans don't consider Mayor Rahm Emanuel to be honest and trustworthy, don't think he was justified in withholding the Laquan McDonald video and don't believe his statements about the controversial police shooting, all fueling a record-low job approval, a new Chicago Tribune poll has found.

The survey results confirm a public crisis in confidence for the second-term mayor, who has faced weeks of street protests, accusations of a cover-up and a federal civil rights probe of his Police Department after fighting the public release of police dash-cam video that showed the shooting of the African-American teen by a white police officer.


Some protesters have called for Emanuel to resign, but the poll revealed that a bare majority of Chicago voters don't think the mayor's missteps have been so grave that he should quit. Still, 4 in 10 surveyed do want the mayor to resign, including half of black and Latino voters.

The poll reveals the deep public distrust of Emanuel that has developed since the McDonald shooting video was released in late November. Nearly 75 percent of Chicago voters do not believe the mayor's explanation of how he learned of the details of McDonald's shooting death, and more than two-thirds say the mayor was not justified in withholding the shooting video.

But the negative voter attitudes toward Emanuel extend beyond his handling of the McDonald case, accentuated by public concern over crime in general, policing, the fate of the city's public school system and the mayor's inability to relate to Chicagoans, the poll found.

All of it has led to an all-time low job approval for Emanuel as mayor: Only 27 percent of Chicagoans approve of his job performance, while a record 63 percent disapprove. The poll was conducted by Research America Inc., featuring live landline and cellphone interviews with 985 registered city voters from Jan. 20-28. It has an error margin of 3.2 percentage points.


The mayor's job approval is down by nearly half from a poll conducted in March 2015, when Emanuel was locked in a runoff election with Cook County Commissioner Jesus "Chuy" Garcia. At that time, 52 percent of voters approved of Emanuel's job performance while 33 percent disapproved. The mayor's previous low job-approval rating was 35 percent in August 2014, as he prepared his re-election bid.

A year ago, Emanuel was able to boost his approval rating after spending millions of dollars airing a steady stream of TV ads designed to rehabilitate his political image. The success was thanks in large part to African-Americans coming back around. In August 2014, only 26 percent of black voters approved of the mayor's job performance, but that number jumped to 51 percent during the campaign. Now, in the aftermath of the McDonald shooting, only 20 percent of African-American voters approve of Emanuel's leadership while a record 71 percent disapproved.

Among Hispanic voters, two-thirds said they don't like the job Emanuel is doing, while only 23 percent approve. A majority of white voters — 55 percent — also aren't satisfied with his job performance, while 37 percent approve. Those approval numbers from both groups are record lows for Emanuel in Tribune polling.

Underlying that deep public disapproval is a widespread lack of trust in Emanuel, the poll found.

Overall, 59 percent of city voters said they viewed Emanuel as not honest and trustworthy, including 64 percent of Hispanics, 63 percent of African Americans and 51 percent of whites. Only 27 percent of city voters said they considered the mayor to be honest and trustworthy.

The loss of public confidence in Emanuel can be traced to voters' poll responses when asked about the mayor's handling of, and reaction to, the McDonald shooting.

68 percent said Emanuel's decision to fight the Laquan McDonald shooting video release was not justified. - Chicago Tribune poll
In October 2014, Officer Jason Van ? unloaded 16 shots into McDonald, many of them as the teen lay in a stretch of Pulaski Road on the Southwest Side.


Police have said Van ? and other officers were responding to a call alleging McDonald had been breaking into vehicles in a nearby trucking yard. They've also said McDonald used a knife with a 3-inch blade to slash the front tire of a squad car that tried to block his path, and a coroner's report found the hallucinogenic drug ? in the teen's system.

The police dash-cam video showed McDonald walking down the middle of the street — and away from Van ? — when he was shot. Less than a month after the shooting, Emanuel's Law Department requested the in-car videos from the incident. The mayor and city attorneys fought for most of 2015 to prevent the video from being released, citing state and federal investigations into the shooting.

As attorneys wrangled privately, Emanuel won re-election in April. A week after the election, the city agreed to a $5 million settlement with McDonald's family before a lawsuit was ever filed. On Nov. 19, Cook County Judge Franklin Valderrama ruled that Emanuel had to make the video public, saying releasing the footage would not jeopardize any investigations. And so the mayor released the video 13 months after the shooting.

That timeline has led some to allege Emanuel sought to cover up details of the shooting as he pursued a second term, allegations the mayor has denied.

The Tribune poll found most don't side with the mayor's reasoning for withholding the video. Only 21 percent of voters agreed with Emanuel's decision to fight the McDonald shooting video release, while 68 percent said the mayor's actions to delay the release were not justified.

Even voters who approved of Emanuel's overall job performance were sharply split over his handling of the McDonald video, with 45 percent saying the mayor was justified and 40 percent saying he wasn't. Among those who disapproved of his job performance, 82 percent said Emanuel was not justified in fighting to keep the McDonald video secret.

Emanuel has said he was not aware of the gravity of the McDonald shooting until six months after it happened, shortly before the city agreed to its April settlement with the dead 17-year-old's family. The mayor has said he did not watch the shooting video until it was released publicly, and has said he was not aware police reports contradicted the video until around 13 months after the shooting, when the reports were released to the public.

Asked if they found those statements believable, only 17 percent of voters said they believed Emanuel's explanation of how he learned the details of the case. An additional 74 percent said they did not believe Emanuel's version of how the events unfolded, including 83 percent of African-Americans,
76 percent of Hispanics and 67 percent of whites. The poll's margin of error among racial and ethnic subgroups was 5.7 percentage points.

Even among those who supported the mayor's overall job performance, more said they didn't believe the mayor — 47 percent — than believed him — 40 percent. Among those who disapproved of Emanuel's job performance, 88 percent did not believe the mayor's statements on the McDonald case.

The mayor's handling of the McDonald case also could be a factor for the low marks poll respondents gave Emanuel on his transparency. While the mayor has made more city data and information available online, he also has been sued for not disclosing public records, including two lawsuits filed by the Chicago Tribune.


Comments

  • stringer bell
    stringer bell Members Posts: 26,212 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    Only 18 percent of city voters said they believed Emanuel runs a transparent administration while 70 percent said he does not. The numbers were consistent across racial groups, with only 16 percent of blacks[/b], 17 percent of Hispanics and 20 percent of white voters saying they believe Emanuel is transparent.

    Overall, the poll found that voters have a bleak perception of the city under Emanuel's leadership, which has been marked not only by the McDonald case and continued struggles with tamping down violent crime, but the mayor's frequent disagreements with the Chicago Teachers Union and his passage of a record $755 million property tax increase last year to pay for police and fire pensions.

    All told, only 13 percent of voters believe Chicago is better off since Emanuel took office in May 2011 — another new low for the mayor in Tribune polls. A record-high 42 percent said they believe Chicago is worse off under Emanuel while another 43 percent said the city is about the same.

    The growing dissatisfaction among minority voters toward the mayor was evident in the results, with only 6 percent of African-Americans and 8 percent of Hispanics saying they saw improvement in the city under Emanuel. At the same time, 47 percent of blacks and 44 percent of Hispanics said they viewed the city as worse off during the mayor's tenure.

    Contrast that with a March 2015 Tribune poll that found 20 percent of African-American voters and 19 percent of Hispanics saying the city was better off under Emanuel. That same poll showed 19 percent of African-American voters and 29 percent of Hispanics said Chicago was worse off.


    Faced with a runoff campaign last year, Emanuel changed his message, telling voters he was listening to their concerns and was aware of his aggressive and abrasive approach to running the city. Part of that rehab of his public persona included what now is referred to in City Hall circles as the "fuzzy sweater ad."

    In the closing campaign ad, Emanuel donned a sweater, looked into the camera and proclaimed, "Chicago's a great city, but we can do even better," before pointing a finger at his chest. "And yeah, I hear ya. So can I."

    The mayor's approach worked so well that just before that election, a Tribune poll found more voters thought Emanuel was more "in touch" with people like themselves than Garcia, his challenger who was running a man-of-the-people campaign.

    In the latest survey, however, a record-high 66 percent of voters said Emanuel was not in touch with people like themselves. Only 1 in 4 voters said the mayor identifies with them. Three-quarters of black voters, 70 percent of Hispanic voters and 58 percent of white voters said they didn't think Emanuel can relate to them.

    Despite the common theme of dissatisfaction throughout the poll, there was one somewhat bright spot for Emanuel.

    Asked if the mayor should resign from office, 51 percent said Emanuel should not resign, while 41 percent said he should step down. That finding is largely due to support from white voters.

    Almost 7 in 10 white voters say the mayor should not step down, compared with 26 percent who want him to resign. But 51 percent of black voters and 50 percent of Hispanic voters said Emanuel should quit the office, while 40 percent of each group said he should stay.

    More Chicagoans supported a measure in Springfield that would allow city voters to recall a mayor from office, the poll showed. Overall, 55 percent of voters supported the recall bill while 36 percent opposed it.

    The measure is unlikely to gain much traction in the Democratic-controlled General Assembly and has severe legal questions about whether it could apply to Emanuel in his current term. But the proposal still received the backing of 60 percent of Hispanic voters and 58 percent of black voters, while white voters were almost equally split.
  • Ghostdenithegawd
    Ghostdenithegawd Members Posts: 16,231 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    can they just kick him out now
  • soul rattler
    soul rattler Members Posts: 18,852 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    And this is the ? they chose just because they didn't want a Mexican as Mayor.
  • D. Morgan
    D. Morgan Members Posts: 11,662 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    And this is the ? they chose just because they didn't want a Mexican as Mayor.

    Also he was Obama right hand man
  • soul rattler
    soul rattler Members Posts: 18,852 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    D. Morgan wrote: »
    And this is the ? they chose just because they didn't want a Mexican as Mayor.

    Also he was Obama right hand man

    Obama won't touch this clown with a 10 foot pole now. The last election he barely showed his face in Chicago. Rahm embarrassed Democrats everywhere. That was the first time in history that two Chicago mayoral candidates had a runoff.
  • blackgod813
    blackgod813 Members Posts: 9,577 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    People love hin more bias ? lies may be wrong but he is chosen deal with it
  • MarcusGarvey
    MarcusGarvey Members Posts: 4,569 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    People should be holding members of that council responsible as well, why were they afraid to confront him. A lot of those members need to voted out too. ? reeks of collusion
  • white sympathizer
    white sympathizer Members Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭✭
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    Live in chicago stupid ?
  • D. Morgan
    D. Morgan Members Posts: 11,662 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    D. Morgan wrote: »
    And this is the ? they chose just because they didn't want a Mexican as Mayor.

    Also he was Obama right hand man

    Obama won't touch this clown with a 10 foot pole now. The last election he barely showed his face in Chicago. Rahm embarrassed Democrats everywhere. That was the first time in history that two Chicago mayoral candidates had a runoff.

    The bold is the key word. That man ? up big time
  • stringer bell
    stringer bell Members Posts: 26,212 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/ct-anita-alvarez-states-attorney-poll-0202-20160201-story.html
    Alvarez with edge despite voter unhappiness with her, Tribune poll finds

    Despite widespread dissatisfaction over her job performance and handling of the Laquan McDonald shooting, Cook County State's Attorney Anita Alvarez still holds an edge against her two Democratic challengers, a new Chicago Tribune poll shows.

    Still, the survey found a sizable number of undecided voters ahead of the March 15 primary election, and much of the electorate unfamiliar with challengers Kim Foxx and Donna More. That leaves the rivals room to grow support as they try to keep the McDonald case at the forefront of their campaigns against Alvarez, who's seeking a third term.

    Alvarez, known by nearly all voters, had 34 percent support, while Foxx had 27 percent and More had 12 percent, the poll showed. An additional 26 percent said they backed another candidate or were undecided.

    The poll of 968 registered Cook County Democratic voters was conducted by Research America Inc. using live landline and cellphone interviews from Jan. 20-28. It has an error margin of 3.2 percentage points.

    In office since late 2008, Alvarez has been in the spotlight for months over her handling of the McDonald case.

    White Chicago police Officer Jason Van ? shot the African-American teen 16 times in October 2014. Alvarez did not file murder charges until 400 days later — in late November, hours before a court-ordered release of police dashboard camera footage of the shooting.

    The video showed Van ? shot McDonald as the 17-year-old walked away down the middle of a stretch of Pulaski Road on the Southwest Side. The footage was sharply at odds with written police reports of the incident that said McDonald lunged at officers with a knife.

    Alvarez defended what critics contended was a lengthy delay in charging Van ? , saying the standards for prosecuting a police officer under rules allowing the use of deadly force were far more complicated than dealing with an ordinary citizen involved in a shooting.

    Moreover, she has said her office had been working with the U.S. attorney's office, which was conducting its own investigation into the case, with plans for both state and federal prosecutors to jointly issue their findings. Alvarez said she decided to go ahead and file charges herself and make the announcement earlier than planned out of concern for "public safety" ahead of the video's release.

    Critics called on Alvarez to resign, but in December she said "there's no way that I would ever even consider resigning," casting critics as politicians with ties to her opponents.

    The poll found a large percentage of voters don't accept Alvarez's explanation for her handling of the McDonald case. More than 7 in 10 Democratic voters said they were not very satisfied or not at all satisfied with it. That included 85 percent of black voters, 67 percent of Hispanic voters and 64 percent of white voters.

    Of those not accepting Alvarez's explanation, half said they were "not at all satisfied," including 72 percent of black voters, 49 percent of Hispanic voters and 35 percent of white voters.

    Only 24 percent of voters said they were at least somewhat satisfied with how she had handled the case, including 32 percent of white voters, 26 percent of Hispanic voters and 10 percent of African-American voters.

    The challengers in the contest are trying to capitalize on dissatisfaction with Alvarez over the case.

    Foxx, a former prosecutor and chief of staff to County Board President Toni Preckwinkle, launched a radio ad featuring news reports about the McDonald shooting as an announcer says Foxx is the only candidate who can "fix" a broken system. Preckwinkle has worked hard to promote Foxx, including helping her win slating by the county Democratic organization after it initially had declined to endorse in the contest last summer.

    More, a former county and federal prosecutor and Illinois Gaming Board attorney now in private practice, is running cable TV ads. One spot features a newspaper headline about the McDonald case that refers to "justice delayed" as an announcer says Alvarez "must go."

    Overall, half of voters in the poll disapproved of Alvarez job performance, while 30 percent approved and 20 percent had no opinion. White voters were split on the question, while 68 percent of black voters disapproved as did 47 percent of Hispanic voters. The error margin for racial and ethnic subgroups is 5.7 percentage points.

    Despite the low job approval rating, Alvarez held a 7-percentage-point lead largely due to white and Hispanic voters. Alvarez got 44 percent support among whites and 39 percent among Hispanics, but just 16 percent among African Americans.

    Foxx, meanwhile, was backed by 40 percent of black voters, a quarter of white voters and 18 percent of Hispanic voters. More was backed by 18 percent of Hispanic voters, 14 percent of black voters and 8 percent of white voters.

    The race remains very fluid — 26 percent of the overall vote remains undecided, including 30 percent of black voters, and 24 percent each among white and Hispanic voters.

    Still, Foxx and More have their work cut out for them in the six weeks until Election Day. More than 4 in 10 voters said they had never heard of Foxx, including more than a third of African-American voters, a key constituency for her campaign. Among the 57 percent who had heard of Foxx, few had an impression of her — 37 percent had no opinion, with 16 percent favorable and 4 percent unfavorable.

    Half of the voters surveyed had never heard of More. Of the half who had heard of her, 41 percent didn't know enough about her to say whether they had a favorable or unfavorable impression.

    The poll found 42 percent of voters had an unfavorable impression of Alvarez, while 26 percent viewed her favorably and 27 percent had no opinion.

  • D. Morgan
    D. Morgan Members Posts: 11,662 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    @obnoxiouslyfresh What ? black people in Chicago are still outwardly supporting this Alvarez ? if you know?

    Crazy some of yall Chicago ? mad at Spike Lee and Chi-raq though. ? is beyond sad!
  • obnoxiouslyfresh
    obnoxiouslyfresh Members Posts: 11,496 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    D. Morgan wrote: »
    @obnoxiouslyfresh What ? black people in Chicago are still outwardly supporting this Alvarez ? if you know?

    Crazy some of yall Chicago ? mad at Spike Lee and Chi-raq though. ? is beyond sad!


    That's not what I concluded from this poll.
  • D. Morgan
    D. Morgan Members Posts: 11,662 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    D. Morgan wrote: »
    @obnoxiouslyfresh What ? black people in Chicago are still outwardly supporting this Alvarez ? if you know?

    Crazy some of yall Chicago ? mad at Spike Lee and Chi-raq though. ? is beyond sad!


    That's not what I concluded from this poll.

    I'm talking about that small 10% in some cases. WTF is their problem?
  • obnoxiouslyfresh
    obnoxiouslyfresh Members Posts: 11,496 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    D. Morgan wrote: »
    D. Morgan wrote: »
    @obnoxiouslyfresh What ? black people in Chicago are still outwardly supporting this Alvarez ? if you know?

    Crazy some of yall Chicago ? mad at Spike Lee and Chi-raq though. ? is beyond sad!


    That's not what I concluded from this poll.

    I'm talking about that small 10% in some cases. WTF is their problem?




    Well that was 10% of people with landlines. These are all people 75 and older. They probably didn't even hear the question. Probably thought the poll was about Anita Baker
  • D. Morgan
    D. Morgan Members Posts: 11,662 ✭✭✭✭✭
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    D. Morgan wrote: »
    D. Morgan wrote: »
    @obnoxiouslyfresh What ? black people in Chicago are still outwardly supporting this Alvarez ? if you know?

    Crazy some of yall Chicago ? mad at Spike Lee and Chi-raq though. ? is beyond sad!


    That's not what I concluded from this poll.

    I'm talking about that small 10% in some cases. WTF is their problem?




    Well that was 10% of people with landlines. These are all people 75 and older. They probably didn't even hear the question. Probably thought the poll was about Anita Baker

    I'll buy that LLS